Incentives, once again
Posted by aogSunday, 24 July 2011 at 13:50 TrackBack Ping URL

Via Instapundit is this article which claims that it is “surprising” that women send more sexual explicit text messages or pictures than men.

Seriously who is surprised? One need only spend about 5 seconds considering the two scenarios

  1. Man sends a woman he knows a picture of himself naked.
  2. Woman send a man she knows a picture of herself naked.

In which scenario is the recipient more likely to say “wow — thanks!”? I would estimate, based on personal experience, that if a woman is at least somewhat attractive and sends a naked picture of herself to a random male, at least 95% of the time it will be sincerely appreciated and no complaints will be made. I would estimate in the reversed genders, you’d get a 95% “oh yuck, I did not need to see that” response. Which gender, therefore, is going to experience positive feedback and be more likely to repeat?

Or do I live among a group of highly abnormal humans?

Comments — Formatting by Textile
Bret Sunday, 24 July 2011 at 14:28

I had the exact same reaction.

Foolish by either gender, though. My constant message to the daughters is anything you write, say, image, or camcord is likely to make it to the Internet and the Internet is forever - even worse than tattoos!!!!

Hey Skipper Sunday, 24 July 2011 at 15:13
… if a woman is at least somewhat attractive and sends a naked picture of herself to a random male, at least 95% of the time it will be sincerely appreciated …

I’d say, conservatively speaking, that you are at least 10% shy of the mark.

AVeryRoughRoadAhead Friday, 05 August 2011 at 05:25

Meh.

This was first reported in the NYT, which, at least according to one wise person, is no more reliable than was Pravda back in the day.

Further, the NYT article explains why the study’s conclusions are extremely unlikely to be universally valid:

At least according to a recent study by Diane Kholos Wysocki, a professor of sociology and women’s studies at the University of Nebraska at Kearney, and Cheryl D. Childers, a professor of sociology at Washburn University, women are more likely to send nude photographs or sexually explicit text messages than men. About two-thirds of women surveyed sent such missives compared with roughly half the men… […]

Dr. Kholos Wysocki’s current study used a rather unusual data set: an online survey of 5,187 adult visitors to the Web site AshleyMadison.com, an “infidelity” service aimed at married men and women, as its basis for analysis. … But there are major caveats to the study: Surveying users of a Web site for swingers does not compare to taking a nationally representative poll or conducting a community study. The people who responded to the survey differ from the general population in many respects; most significantly, they are actual or would-be cheaters. They are also people who visit a particular cheating Web site, which may differ in clientele from other cheating sites.

Finally, the respondents were people who elected to respond to a voluntary survey and therefore differ from those people who visit that Web site but do not have the time or the inclination to fill out a survey. This is called self-selection and makes generalizing about the entire population unreliable. In the end, the group skewed more educated, more affluent and older than the general population.

However, I’d be truly shocked if a scientifically-valid study found that teenage girls DID NOT send more naked photos than did teenage boys, by an order of magnitude…

Annoying Old Guy Friday, 05 August 2011 at 08:15

Oh, I agree that the validity of the study is dubious, but I was more interested that the people who wrote about it were surprised by the result. I think it’s an example of the failure of the MAList mindset, which envisions actions as based on what people want, rather than the consequences (incentives) of those actions.

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