Different brand, same product
Posted by aogWednesday, 27 July 2011 at 12:04 TrackBack Ping URL

This note on the coming collapse of Al Qaeda has been making the rounds. I think it’s likely true but frankly, so what? It seems a rather logocentric fallacy that if a specific organization goes under, the cause, motives, and techniques used will also disappear. It seems far more likely to me that a few of the currently critical actors involved will be terminated but the overall actions of the Caliphascists will go on mostly as they do now.

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erp Wednesday, 27 July 2011 at 12:58

Similarly to ACORN activities. There are always worker bees in the background ready and willing to pick up from their stricken comrades.

Hey Skipper Saturday, 06 August 2011 at 22:22
It seems a rather logocentric fallacy that if a specific organization goes under, the cause, motives, and techniques used will also disappear.

Possibly mistaken, but certainly not a fallacy.

Communism sank like a greased safe over a period of 18 years. Arguably, its high point was in 1973. Sixteen years later the wall came down; two years later its focal point, the USSR, ceased to exist. Obviously, because of a sufficiency of idiots, the communism as a cause has not disappeared. However, no one else would be accused of fallacy by suggesting that communism is no longer, and never again will be, an idea capable of capturing anything more than infinitesimal allegiance.

Islamism could well be following that same path, only faster. If the reasons for Al Qaeda’s collapse are its fundamental disconnect from reality (as was the case for communism), with a consequence collapse of its appeal even to its core constituency, then why shouldn’t this be indicative of a general collapse?

Annoying Old Guy Sunday, 07 August 2011 at 23:11

I should have put a “because” in that quote.

Yes, it’s quite possible that Al Qaeda’s demise is part of a general trend. But when I read articles like this the impression I get is that Al Qaeda is the whole thing and if it goes out of business, the Long War is over.

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