But violence never solves anything!
Posted by aogSunday, 18 November 2007 at 19:36 TrackBack Ping URL

Just a quick cite. A while ago a commentor asked about the raid on Syria by Israel. A number of observers noted that one significant effect was that it sent a message to Iran that they had control of their airspace only until the USA or Israel decided differently. This commentor points out that it may well be no coincidence that Iran is now starting to be more cooperative in with regard to Iraq —

No doubt that Iran took notice at the abject ineffectiveness of Russian “state of the art” air defense systems protecting the Syrian nuke plant, and recalculated their situation. Meanwhile Iran and Syria are on hold with Putin’s ADA customer service line, wondering if the warranty covers aircraft detection software upgrades.

I can’t believe any one in our government was smart enough to plan at this level, but I could believe that the Israelis could have been.

Comments — Formatting by Textile
erp Sunday, 18 November 2007 at 19:53

How do you guys know they didn’t all sit down and talk things over like reasonable people and come up with a compromise that gave all sides what they wanted and then everybody had a nice dinner and went home happy?

Annoying Old Guy Sunday, 18 November 2007 at 20:01

I live in the “dim with no rainbows” section.

Hey Skipper Sunday, 18 November 2007 at 21:14

AOG:

Perhaps our government provided Israel with intel they would not otherwise have had.

On purpose.

One can hope, anyway.

Annoying Old Guy Sunday, 18 November 2007 at 21:27

It’s also possible that our fecklessness worked in our favor for once. The mullahs may have figured that they’re better off cooperating for now because if provoked further now, we might do something. Wait 6 or 12 months, we’ll forget, and then the mullahs can go back to doing whatever they want.

Hey Skipper Wednesday, 21 November 2007 at 03:09

On a slightly related tangent.

Bush was pilloried for not putting enough personnel in Iraq post invasion. In retrospect, it seems a fair accusation, considering the payoff of the surge.

However.

If one wanted to prove the jihadists’ moral bankruptcy, and earn the ire of those who might be expected to provide support and cover for the jihadis, what better way then allowing a certain degree of free reign for awhile?

Our current success is not explained by the greater number of troops alone.

Annoying Old Guy Wednesday, 21 November 2007 at 06:52

Yes, I figured that was the case a while back, although I’m too lazy to search for the cite. The Iraqis would hardly be the first people who needed that sort of brutal lesson to figure out where their real best interests lay.

However, I will also invoke one of my primary rules of thumb, which is that no human event involving more than two people has a single cause.

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