Trying to impress the cool kids
Posted by aogTuesday, 15 August 2006 at 07:41 TrackBack Ping URL

I have to count the current ceasefire in Lebanon as a win for Hizb’allah. Before the ceasefire, time favored Israel because every day lead to more attrition of Hizb’allah resources (men, money, equipment). The ceasefire stops the Hizb’allah bleeding but leaves Israel burning cash at an enormous rate due to uncertainty and call up of the reserves. This situation is so disadvantageous to Israel that Arab nations used to conduct their own callups and provocations simply to get Israel to respond internally, knowing how expensive that was. In addition, there were strong indications that Hizb’allah forces in south Lebanon were having supply problems, which can now be fixed without risk by Hizb’allah and its masters Syria and Iran. It seems like Israel still values its image in the kangaroo court fo world opinion, but perhaps Israel has a deeper plan that I can’t see.

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