Now the DNC chairman is claiming that President Bush's slowly falling poll numbers means that he is going to go the way of his father. Well, maybe. But it's really out of the hands of the Democratic Party. Bush has set himself up in such a way that he will determine his own fate in 2004. If there is a recovering Iraq and the start of change in the Middle East, Bush will win. If Saddam is still smelling daisies instead of pushing them Bush is toast. Bush's poll numbers are falling because of concern by the hawks over the dithering with the UN and by the doves over the possibility for war. A successful invasion followed by the release of information about what Saddam has been doing there for 10 years will turn the numbers around in time for the 2004 election. Cynical thought: is Bush delaying because he thinks that his father lost due to winning the war too early to ride it through the election? Hopefully not, because I believe it was far more the fact that it wasn't percieved as a real victory.

But clearly the toubles of the Democratic Party are basically technological:

Part of their [Democratic Party operatives'] optimism is due to the high-tech tools McAuliffe has introduced at the DNC to reach new financial donors to overcome limits imposed under McCain-Feingold reforms

Even Oliver Willis doesn't buy the theory that better technology will get the Democrats out of the Death Spiral.