What Gaul!
Posted by aogTuesday, 21 January 2003 at 17:13 TrackBack Ping URL
Although everyone in the blogosphere is already piling on, I thought I'd give the latest gaseous emissions from France a whirl. I agree with Den Beste that the actions of Germany and particularly France make them look very guilty in arming Iraq after the Gulf War. The comments seem particularly vacuous. French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin said "We could not support unilateral action". Duh - if you supported it then it wouldn't be unilateral! Of course, France's solution to this and the dissension in the EU is for everyone to agree with France.

The article also claims that if France doesn't join up, then the cost of the war will be much higher for the US. I find this laughable - as has been mentioned recent US military actions have carefully avoiding putting any non-Anglosphere forces on a critical path.

Sadly, I must do a little defense of France. After reading multiple accounts, it's clear that the statement "We [France] believe that today nothing justifies envisaging military action" is clearly with reference to Iraq and the evidence that has been found to date, not in abstract and in general. I find that claim risible but not utter lunacy. It doesn't really matter - if we go in I have no doubt that we'll find evidence of French and German cooperation with Saddam's regime. Their intrasegience will cost them the remains of respect from the US, destroy NATO and potentially break up the EU. The castigation of the blogosphere is rather pale compared to that.

Comments — Formatting by Textile
oj Wednesday, 22 January 2003 at 07:07


Annoying Old Guy Wednesday, 22 January 2003 at 09:11

OJ; What about the State Department? Their respect for France will become the “respect that dare not speak its name”.

Mcwop; Den Beste covers that well in his recent post. The bottom line is, if that were the primary issue, then France would have done an under the table deal with the US to keep those concessions after the war in exchange for being quiet. France’s current stance is very likely to destroy any possibility of accomodation afterwards. A reasonable presumption is that the US going forward into Iraq will cause something much worse (in France’s view) to happen. I think that’s almost indisputable (the only alternative is that they’ve become completely unhinged). What’s speculation is exactly what the Chirac government is afraid of.

Mcwop Wednesday, 22 January 2003 at 13:27

AOG - points well taken. I have yet to decide on their motives as the evidence slowly trickles to the surface. I figure that the U.S. has not given any oil guarantees and this is why France, Russia (Germany?) are balking (to force a deal). Even more interesting is that France and Germany are running up against EU deficit caps, and are under considerable EU pressure. Maybe they are worried that a war will be bad for their economies, thus worsening their budget situation? The one thing I am sure of, is that they are not balking because of some pacifist principle.

oj Wednesday, 22 January 2003 at 14:35

Ah, but no one respects the State Department either. :)

End of Discussion